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Home Base

A publication of
the American Homeowners Grassroots Alliance and the American Homeowners Foundation
  

 www.americanhomeowners.org


May, 2011



In this issue of Home Base:

Mortgage Interest Deduction in Play
Owning Cheaper Than Renting in More Major Cities
How to Cut Your Gasoline Bill
Homeowners Cranking Up Remodeling Efforts
Federal Court Prohibits Anticompetitive Real Estate Broker Practices


Mortgage Interest Deduction in Play

Cutbacks could be incorporated into deficit reduction plan.

The nations’ widening federal deficit continues to be a major focus of Congress. Congress barely averted a federal government shutdown, with hours to spare, last month. With the current annual budget debate behind them, legislators are now looking at longer term spending cuts and tax increases.

A bipartisan group of senators called the “Gang of Six” lead by Senators Mark Warner (D-VA) and Saxby Chambliss (R-GA) are working to draft legislation to achieve that goal. Their inspiration and point of departure was the earlier recommendations of the President’s National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility. The draft could be announced in early May.

Given the magnitude of the deficit, the proposed changes are sure to be substantial. They will include a combination of spending cuts ranging from the defense budget to entitlement programs, as well as changes to the tax code. Because they will be substantial, they will also be controversial.

President Obama as well as Senator Warner have suggested a ratio of $3 in spending reductions for every dollar in increased taxes, which is close to the ratio previously suggested by the National Commission. In order to achieve the National Commission’s goal of reducing the national debt by $4 trillion there will have to be some serious tax increases. The National Commission proposed limiting deductions for mortgage interest and the Gang of Six is looking at some variation of those recommendations as well.

If the Gang of Six uses the National Commission’s approach, the restructured mortgage interest deduction will have only a modest impact, if any, on most moderate and middle income homeowners. There will be one notable exception however. The most significant impact of the change would be on wealthy buyers of expensive homes. They will feel the brunt of a smaller cap on the mortgage interest deduction.

Many wealthy homeowners buy 6,000+ square foot McMansions not because they need all that space, but because the structure of the current mortgage interest deduction makes it a great tax avoidance tool. From a public policy standpoint, a downside of the increase in the construction of McMansions is the waste of energy and natural resources in the underutilized parts of those homes. A childless couple could easily get by in a home half that size, and save money on heating and cooling even if the McMansion was more energy efficient.

Another legitimate argument in favor of reducing the benefits of the mortgage interest deduction to wealthy taxpayers is that it would help restore fairness to the tax code. In many cases middle income taxpayers pay more federal taxes than those who make substantially more than they do. The mortgage interest deduction is one of the many legitimate deductions available to taxpayers, but many lower and middle class taxpayers aren’t able to take advantage of many of them. If they didn’t own a home and have mortgage interest or other tax deductions, a middle class couple paid 25% federal tax on their 2010 taxable incomes above $34,000. By contrast the median tax federal paid by couples with $200,000 in incomes in 2009 was $20,000, or 10% of their income. Why did the middle class taxpayer have to pay 25% rate while the wealthier couple paid only 10% of their total income in federal tax? It’s because the wealthier couple had lots of tax deductions, and a large mortgage interest deduction was probably one of them.

Despite these legitimate arguments for limiting the mortgage interest deduction, we don’t think it is a good idea because there is no way to limit it without pricing a good number of middle class taxpayers out of the home ownership market. Home values vary so much across the country there is no fair way to limit the mortgage interest deduction that would not discriminate against lower and middle class homeowners in expensive housing markets. In the poorest parts of the country, $500,000 would buy you a McMansion. In San Francisco, New York City, and Washington DC, $500,000 barely gets you a small starter home close to town.

People in expensive housing markets have to save a lot longer to accumulate a down payment in those areas, and they have to stretch their budgets to the max to be able to afford the mortgage payments. Accumulated home equity is the greatest form of savings for most homeowners. It helps pay or their retirement and often for other worthy investments, such as their children’s education. We don’t want to discourage this important form of savings by restrictions on the mortgage interest deduction that would limit its benefits to middle class taxpayers whose only sin is living in an expensive housing market.

Reducing the federal deficit is a worthy objective that we should all support. Most homeowners started their home ownership journey being “house poor”. They understand that there’s always a little fat in the tightest budget. The federal budget has lots of fat. We believe that most if not all of the deficit reduction should be achieved through spending cuts.

There’s not much room for tax increases. Moderate and middle income taxpayers can’t afford to pay more taxes. Increasing business taxes in this frail economy would hurt job creation and makes no sense. Besides, those business tax increases would just be passed on to consumers anyway. Limiting the mortgage interest deduction would generate new federal revenue, reduce the energy and resource waste inherent in building more McMansions, but there’s no way to structure a mortgage interest restriction that would be fair to those living in expensive housing markets.

The first thing Congress should do is cut the federal budget as much as possible. If we need to do still more to bring down the deficit sooner, it would be fairer and much simpler to set a higher minimum income tax on incomes above a certain level, such as $300,000. Those taxpayers should still be able to pick and choose whatever deductions they want, including the mortgage interest deduction, but they would have pay a somewhat higher total minimum tax than some of them are today, no matter how many deductions they have.


Owning Cheaper Than Renting in More Major Cities

Rent increases, home price drops, and low interest rates swing the pendulum.

It has become cheaper to rent a home than buy it in more areas, according to real estate research firm
Trulia. Trulia’s second quarter 2011 Rent vs. Buy Index, which compares the cost of buying and renting a two-bedroom apartment, condominium or townhouse in the 50 largest U.S. cities revealed that it is cheaper to rent than buy in forty of them. It still remains more expensive to buy a home than rent it in New York, Fort Worth and Kansas City.

Rents have been steadily increasing in most major areas. As employment continues to recover the demand for rental housing is likely to become greater for a number of reasons. “Boomerang kids,” children who were forced to move back in with their parents, will be looking for their own place as they find jobs. Most don’t have much in savings, and since lenders are requiring larger down payments these days, buying is not an option for most of them. Some unrelated families and individuals have also been sharing housing to save money. As their fortunes improve through re-employment they will want their own place as well.

Home prices continue to decline according to recent data. The National Association of Realtors April annual home price forecast projected a 1.8% decline in the median price of U.S. existing homes in 2011. The expected change in values varies from one region to another. Not surprisingly, the areas that have suffered drops already and which can expect further drops in the future are the ones where home ownership costs have dropped below rent.

Mortgage interest rates, which continue at much lower levels than normal, are also a significant factor in today’s low ownership costs. The federal government has been keeping long term interest rates low for some time, but this will not last forever. When they start back up the pendulum will swing back in the other direction. Even a seemingly minor increase in mortgage rates – one or two percent – will push the cost of owning back ahead of renting in many places.

Low consumer confidence in the economic outlook has also kept many home buyers on the sidelines. As the economy improves, many of them will get off the fence and start looking around. This will also start driving selling prices higher.

The conclusion to be drawn is that the current situation is only temporary. In the vast majority of U.S. communities it has been more expensive to buy than rent. Both psychological factors and economic factors will assure that we return to those circumstances. Most people want a home they can call their own. Because it is a highly leveraged investment in most cases, the return on the amount invested (i.e. the original down payment) is quite impressive even given the modest overall annual historical levels of home appreciation (about 3%).

All of this means that today is a good time to buy for those that can afford it. For most home sellers there is a better chance for home appreciation rather than further declines once we get through this year.


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How to Cut Your Gasoline Bill

Just say no to buying that stuff.

American homeowners are using the tools of technology to solve the challenge of $4.00 a gallon gasoline. Rather than drive to mall, they are ordering more products and services online than ever before. Not only are they saving money on gas, they are also reducing vehicular air pollution and traffic congestion. In addition reduced traffic will also save state and local government's money by lowering their road repair and other transportation infrastructure support costs. And, as a bonus, consumers also save time and have more choices in most cases.

Many American homeowners and other consumers are becoming even more intimately involved in Internet commerce. According to an ACNielsen International Research, even several years ago about 724,000 Americans said that eBay was already their primary or secondary source of income. Another 1.5 million generated extra cash by having garage sales online. The recession has driven both of those numbers up, as workers who have lost their jobs are increasingly turning their hobbies into small online businesses.

While society, consumers and state and local governments all benefit from Internet commerce, not everyone is pleased. The oil companies are probably not happy with this trend, and many owners of shopping centers are becoming very distressed. As their tenants’ Internet commerce sales continues to grow far more rapidly than their retail sales in the shopping malls, companies are pushing back against shopping center rent increases and/or not renewing leases.

Some weaker shopping centers have already gone out of business or have been repurposed in ways that better align with the needs of 21st century consumers. Shopping center owners clearly see the writing on the wall. Just as the industrial revolution lead to the decline of the buggy whip manufacturers at the dawn of the twentieth century, technology is doing the same thing to shopping centers in the 21st century. Shopping center owners badly need a means to force more consumers off of the Internet and into their cars for a drive to the shopping center.

They have come up with a clever idea to achieve that goal. It’s called the “Main Street Fairness Act,” which would increase the amount of state and local sales taxes consumers pay on Internet purchases. If the shopping center owners can increase the cost of online purchases, perhaps more consumers will return to the shopping malls. The legislation creates new complexities that may force some of the growing number of small home based e-businesses to quit. First, they would have to determine and collect the sales tax based on their customers location, which is not an easy task since there are upwards of 15,000 state and local sales tax jurisdictions nationwide, and each has different tax rates on different products and services. After determining the appropriate tax rate, the small business owner would then have to identify the taxing authority’s address and send the collected sales tax to them. This arduous process would be repeated for every sale that small businesses made. Small main street merchants that also sell their products online would face the same challenge for their Internet sales.

There is another very big problem with the Main Street Fairness Act. Increasing the collection of sales taxes on Internet purchases goes against the wishes of the vast majority of voters. A 2008 survey by Parade Magazine, asked readers: “Should Internet Sales Be Taxed”? Based on 3,125 survey responses, 85% opposed taxing any Internet sales. Internet tax increases are much more unpopular than other alternatives available to states in need of new revenue to balance their budgets. For example there is far less voter opposition to raising sin (alcohol and tobacco) taxes, or temporary income tax surcharges on the very wealthy.

We believe that the best approach to Internet sales taxes would instead be a permanent Internet sales tax holiday, similar to the temporary sales tax holidays many local governments currently provide for back-to-school or other purposes. Most state governments don’t charge sales tax on products such as prescription drugs, and there are many equally compelling arguments for not taxing Internet purchases. Small home-based and other online businesses will grow as a result of a permanent Internet sales tax holiday. They will hire new workers, providing badly needed jobs at a time when unemployment is still hovering at close to 10%. By reducing the roles of the unemployed we will also help the federal, state and local governments by reducing the need government spending associated with unemployment benefits.


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Homeowners Cranking Up Remodeling Efforts

Substantial increase a good sign of growing consumer confidence.

The remodeling market is heading into recovery. On April 28 the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) announced that their Quarterly Remodeling Market Index (RMI) had increased to 46.5 in the first quarter of 2011 from 41.5 in the fourth quarter of 2010. This marks the highest level for the RMI since the fourth quarter of 2006. The RMI measures the percentage of remodelers who have seen growth in their business over the previous quarter. While an RMI below 50 indicates that still more remodelers report market activity is lower, the latest figure suggests that the slump is soon likely to bottom out, if it hasn’t already.

The overall RMI combines ratings of current remodeling activity with indicators of future activity, such as calls for bids. Current market conditions for the first quarter of 2011 rose to 46.1 from 43.3 in the previous quarter. Future market indicators climbed to 46.8 from 39.7 in the previous quarter.

"Remodelers report a jump in activity so far this year and have been receiving more calls for work and appointments," said NAHB Remodelers Chairman Bob Peterson, CGR, CAPS, CGP, a remodeler from Ft. Collins, Colo. "However, many home owners are still slow to commit to remodeling due to feeling uncertain about the economic recovery and difficulty obtaining loans."

Regional break downs for current remodeling market conditions showed growth in all but one area: Northeast 46.1 (from 38.8 in the fourth quarter), South 46.1 (from 45.8), and West 46.1 (from 39.7). Only the Midwest experienced a decline to 47.1 (from 54.3).

All current remodeling market indicators increased: major additions to 50.3 (from 48.6 in the fourth quarter), minor additions to 48.0 (from 43.9), and maintenance and repair to 39.5 (from 37.0). Future market indicators also improved across the board: calls for bids rose to 53.1 (from 47.2), appointments for proposals to 52.4 (from 43.1), backlog of remodeling jobs to 49.7 (from 42.6), and amount of work committed for the next three months to 32.1 (from 25.9).

In an additional special question remodelers reported the top reasons prospective customers are holding back from remodeling their homes:

● Customers think it is hard to get financing (90 percent of remodeler respondents)

● Customers have lost equity in their homes (81 percent)

● Customers are uncertain about their future economic situation (74 percent)

● Reluctance to invest in home when not sure home will hold its value (67 percent)

● Negative media stories making customers more cautious (62 percent)

Inaccurate appraisals are making financing more difficult (54 percent)

"Home remodeling continues to slowly increase and continued growth through the year is expected," said NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe. "The fact that some indicators are breaking 50 means remodelers are seeing improving activity in their markets. While credit scarcity and economic uncertainty continue to weigh down remodeling, signs of increasing consumer interest are promising."

“Homeowners are slowly becoming more optimistic,” noted American Homeowners Foundation President Bruce Hahn. “There are similar heartening figures on the home resale side as well. It’s nothing dramatic, and many markets are still in a slump, but the trend is positive. The American Homeowners Foundation urges homeowners to be prudent and plan remodeling projects thoroughly. Complaints regarding remodeling contractors are always near the top of both the Better Business Bureaus and the American Homeowners Foundations complaint list. The Foundation has free top ten tips on the Foundation’s
website. One of the most important tips is to always use a comprehensive detailed contract when you engage a remodeling contractor. The Foundation also offers an inexpensive fill in the blanks remodeling contract which can be ordered on the Foundations website.

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Federal Court Prohibits Anticompetitive Real Estate Broker Practices

FTC’s prosecution and Court’s decision may help reduce real estate commissions.

American
homeowners are the beneficiaries of the 6th district federal court’s April 6 opinion affirming the Federal Trade Commission’s earlier decision prohibiting multiple listing services from blackballing competitors who charge home sellers less than the prevailing real estate sales commission rates. Real estate multiple listing services (MLSs) are local or regional groups of real estate brokers. They pool the real estate listings of their member brokers and then feed all of the listings to every participating member’s website. Thus a homeowner who lists their home with one real estate agent will be able to see their listing on the consumer facing websites of all the other real estate brokers in the area.

Because nearly 90% of home buyers conduct their searches online, this widespread exposure is critical to the sale of a home. Some real estate brokers have recognized that this exposure is the most critical factor in a home’s sale and is saving them a lot of work. They have unbundled their fees to home sellers and have offered home sellers steep commission discounts for listing the home in the MLS only. Rather than a 6% commission, they charge the home seller only a few hundred dollars. The home seller gets the same exposure they would receive if they were paying a full commission, but the ancillary efforts, such as hosting open houses, and negotiating with buyers aren’t included. Many of these “discount” brokers also offer these additional services on an optional menu basis.

Many traditional real estate brokers have seen the discount brokers as a threat to their ability to maintain high real estate commission levels. They have plotted, through the MLSs that they control, to keep discount brokers and the home sellers they represent, out of their MLS’s database. The Federal Trade Commission has stepped in and stopped many MLSs from this anticompetitive practice. One of them, Realcomp, an MLS in southeast Michigan, challenged the FTC. The FTC had earlier ruled that Realcomp MLS’s policy of prohibiting discount broker members from advertising their listings on Realcomp’s website was nothing more than a transparent effort to maintain high real estate commission levels. The American Homeowners Grassroots Alliance filed a brief in support of the FTC’s efforts in that case.

Realcomp challenged the FTC’s decision before the 6th district federal court. In early April the court decided the case in favor of the FTC and American homeowners. In her decision Circuit Judge Karen Moore concluded that “substantial evidence supports the Commission’s findings that: 1) Realcomp’s website policy gave rise to potential genuine adverse effects on competition due to Realcomp’s substantial market power and the website policy’s anticompetitive nature; 2) the website policy in fact caused actual anticompetitive effects; and 3) Realcomp’s proffered precompetitive justifications were insufficient to overcome a prima facie case of adverse impact. These findings establish that Realcomp’s website policy unreasonably restrained competition in the market for the provision of residential real-estate-brokerage services in southeastern Michigan and the Realcomp MLS area.”

American Homeowners Grassroots Alliance President Bruce Hahn thanked
J
udge Moore for her wisdom and the FTC for its diligent defense of American homeowners. “This decision means that the issue is dead. Many other MLS’s have tried the same tactic, and the NAR invested heavily in this appeal. They have lost every case. It is time for MLS’s and industry leaders to put this issue behind them and stop wasting their members’ dues money on lost causes that only offend their customers and tarnish the profession’s reputation. Instead they should focus instead on how to better serve their clients and their members.”

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Please take the time to contact your legislators and express your views on pending policy issues covered in this month’s Home Base. It's easy - you can reach your legislators by email in a couple of mouse clicks, and you can use the content in Home Base and elsewhere on our website to help you develop your message.

To look up the phone number, email, and/or postal address of your U.S. Representative or your two U.S. Senators, (or your state representative or state senator) click here. You can also look up which legislators represent your zip code if you don’t recall their names.

A personal meeting is a particularly effective way to get their attention and reinforce your message. Many legislators are also happy to meet personally with their constituents when they are back home on weekends or when Congress is not in session. Most are back in their home states now running hard for the November election, so they are particularly open to hearing the views of their constituents. Please consider also requesting a follow up face-to-face meeting in their home state or home district offices near you when you contact their Washington DC offices on policy issues. 

Is there a policy issue that is particularly important to you which significantly impacts homeowners or home ownership? We are in the process of updating our annual issue guide for 2011. We share this document with federal and state legislators and with the media. Any member may propose a position on a policy issue, so please check the American Homeowners Grassroots Alliance's 2011 Issue Guide. If it isn't on the list, we invite you to send us an email and tell us why you think the American Homeowners Grassroots Alliance should take a position and work on it.

 

Copyright 2011, American Homeowners Foundation and the American Homeowners Grassroots Alliance.