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Mortgage
Interest Deduction in Play
Owning Cheaper Than Renting in More Major Cities
How to Cut Your
Gasoline Bill
Homeowners Cranking Up Remodeling Efforts
Federal Court Prohibits Anticompetitive Real Estate Broker
Practices
Mortgage
Interest Deduction in Play
Cutbacks could be incorporated into deficit reduction
plan.
The nations’ widening federal deficit continues to be a
major focus of Congress. Congress barely averted a federal
government shutdown, with hours to spare, last month. With
the current annual budget debate behind them, legislators
are now looking at longer term spending cuts and tax
increases.
A bipartisan group of senators called the “Gang of Six” lead
by Senators Mark Warner (D-VA) and Saxby Chambliss (R-GA)
are working to draft legislation to achieve that goal. Their
inspiration and point of departure was the earlier
recommendations of the President’s National Commission on
Fiscal Responsibility. The draft could be announced in early
May.
Given the magnitude of the deficit, the proposed changes are
sure to be substantial. They will include a combination of
spending cuts ranging from the defense budget to entitlement
programs, as well as changes to the tax code. Because they
will be substantial, they will also be controversial.
President Obama as well as Senator Warner have suggested a
ratio of $3 in spending reductions for every dollar in
increased taxes, which is close to the ratio previously
suggested by the National Commission. In order to achieve
the National Commission’s goal of reducing the national debt
by $4 trillion there will have to be some serious tax
increases. The National Commission proposed limiting
deductions for mortgage interest and the Gang of Six is
looking at some variation of those recommendations as well.
If the Gang of Six uses the National Commission’s approach,
the restructured mortgage interest deduction will have only
a modest impact, if any, on most moderate and middle income
homeowners. There will be one notable exception however. The
most significant impact of the change would be on wealthy
buyers of expensive homes. They will feel the brunt of a
smaller cap on the mortgage interest deduction.
Many wealthy homeowners buy 6,000+ square foot McMansions
not because they need all that space, but because the
structure of the current mortgage interest deduction makes
it a great tax avoidance tool. From a public policy
standpoint, a downside of the increase in the construction
of McMansions is the waste of energy and natural resources
in the underutilized parts of those homes. A childless
couple could easily get by in a home half that size, and
save money on heating and cooling even if the McMansion was
more energy efficient.
Another legitimate argument in favor of reducing the
benefits of the mortgage interest deduction to wealthy
taxpayers is that it would help restore fairness to the tax
code. In many cases middle income taxpayers pay more federal
taxes than those who make substantially more than they do.
The mortgage interest deduction is one of the many
legitimate deductions available to taxpayers, but many lower
and middle class taxpayers aren’t able to take advantage of
many of them. If they didn’t own a home and have mortgage
interest or other tax deductions, a middle class couple paid
25% federal tax on their 2010 taxable incomes above $34,000.
By contrast the median tax federal paid by couples with
$200,000 in incomes in 2009 was $20,000, or 10% of their
income. Why did the middle class taxpayer have to pay 25%
rate while the wealthier couple paid only 10% of their total
income in federal tax? It’s because the wealthier couple had
lots of tax deductions, and a large mortgage interest
deduction was probably one of them.
Despite these legitimate arguments for limiting the mortgage
interest deduction, we don’t think it is a good idea because
there is no way to limit it without pricing a good number of
middle class taxpayers out of the home ownership market.
Home values vary so much across the country there is no fair
way to limit the mortgage interest deduction that would not
discriminate against lower and middle class homeowners in
expensive housing markets. In the poorest parts of the
country, $500,000 would buy you a McMansion. In San
Francisco, New York City, and Washington DC, $500,000 barely
gets you a small starter home close to town.
People in expensive housing markets have to save a lot
longer to accumulate a down payment in those areas, and they
have to stretch their budgets to the max to be able to
afford the mortgage payments. Accumulated home equity is the
greatest form of savings for most homeowners. It helps pay
or their retirement and often for other worthy investments,
such as their children’s education. We don’t want to
discourage this important form of savings by restrictions on
the mortgage interest deduction that would limit its
benefits to middle class taxpayers whose only sin is living
in an expensive housing market.
Reducing the federal deficit is a worthy objective that we
should all support. Most homeowners started their home
ownership journey being “house poor”. They understand that
there’s always a little fat in the tightest budget. The
federal budget has lots of fat. We believe that most if not
all of the deficit reduction should be achieved through
spending cuts.
There’s not much room for tax increases. Moderate and middle
income taxpayers can’t afford to pay more taxes. Increasing
business taxes in this frail economy would hurt job creation
and makes no sense. Besides, those business tax increases
would just be passed on to consumers anyway. Limiting the
mortgage interest deduction would generate new federal
revenue, reduce the energy and resource waste inherent in
building more McMansions, but there’s no way to structure a
mortgage interest restriction that would be fair to those
living in expensive housing markets.
The first thing Congress should do is cut the federal budget
as much as possible. If we need to do still more to bring
down the deficit sooner, it would be fairer and much simpler
to set a higher minimum income tax on incomes above a
certain level, such as $300,000. Those taxpayers should
still be able to pick and choose whatever deductions they
want, including the mortgage interest deduction, but they
would have pay a somewhat higher total minimum tax than some
of them are today, no matter how many deductions they have.
Owning Cheaper Than Renting in More Major Cities
Rent increases, home price drops, and low
interest rates swing the pendulum.
It has become cheaper to rent a home than buy it in
more areas, according to real estate research firm
Trulia.
Trulia’s second quarter 2011
Rent vs. Buy Index, which compares the cost of
buying and renting a two-bedroom apartment,
condominium or townhouse in the 50 largest U.S.
cities revealed that it is cheaper to rent than buy
in forty of them. It still remains more expensive to
buy a home than rent it in New York, Fort Worth and
Kansas City.
Rents have been steadily increasing in most major
areas. As employment continues to recover the demand
for rental housing is likely to become greater for a
number of reasons. “Boomerang kids,” children who
were forced to move back in with their parents, will
be looking for their own place as they find jobs.
Most don’t have much in savings, and since lenders
are requiring larger down payments these days,
buying is not an option for most of them. Some
unrelated families and individuals have also been
sharing housing to save money. As their fortunes
improve through re-employment they will want their
own place as well.
Home prices continue to decline according to recent
data. The National Association of Realtors April
annual home price forecast projected a 1.8% decline
in the median price of U.S. existing homes in 2011.
The expected change in values varies from one region
to another. Not surprisingly, the areas that have
suffered drops already and which can expect further
drops in the future are the ones where home
ownership costs have dropped below rent.
Mortgage interest rates, which continue at much
lower levels than normal, are also a significant
factor in today’s low ownership costs. The federal
government has been keeping long term interest rates
low for some time, but this will not last forever.
When they start back up the pendulum will swing back
in the other direction. Even a seemingly minor
increase in mortgage rates – one or two percent –
will push the cost of owning back ahead of renting
in many places.
Low consumer confidence in the economic outlook has
also kept many home buyers on the sidelines. As the
economy improves, many of them will get off the
fence and start looking around. This will also start
driving selling prices higher.
The conclusion to be drawn is that the current
situation is only temporary. In the vast majority of
U.S. communities it has been more expensive to buy
than rent. Both psychological factors and economic
factors will assure that we return to those
circumstances. Most people want a home they can call
their own. Because it is a highly leveraged
investment in most cases, the return on the amount
invested (i.e. the original down payment) is quite
impressive even given the modest overall annual
historical levels of home appreciation (about 3%).
All of this means that today is a good time to buy
for those that can afford it. For most home sellers
there is a better chance for home appreciation
rather than further declines once we get through
this year.
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How to Cut Your
Gasoline Bill
Just say no to buying that stuff.
American homeowners are using the tools of technology to
solve the challenge of $4.00 a gallon gasoline. Rather
than drive to mall, they are ordering more products and
services online than ever before. Not only are they
saving money on gas, they are also reducing vehicular
air pollution and traffic congestion. In addition
reduced traffic will also save state and local
government's money by lowering their road repair and
other transportation infrastructure support costs. And,
as a bonus, consumers also save time and have more
choices in most cases.
Many American homeowners and other consumers are
becoming even more intimately involved in Internet
commerce. According to an ACNielsen International
Research, even several years ago about 724,000 Americans
said that eBay was already their primary or secondary
source of income. Another 1.5 million generated extra
cash by having garage sales online. The recession has
driven both of those numbers up, as workers who have
lost their jobs are increasingly turning their hobbies
into small online businesses.
While society, consumers and state and local governments
all benefit from Internet commerce, not everyone is
pleased. The oil companies are probably not happy with
this trend, and many owners of shopping centers are
becoming very distressed. As their tenants’ Internet
commerce sales continues to grow far more rapidly than
their retail sales in the shopping malls, companies are
pushing back against shopping center rent increases
and/or not renewing leases.
Some weaker shopping centers have already gone out of
business or have been repurposed in ways that better
align with the needs of 21st century consumers. Shopping
center owners clearly see the writing on the wall. Just
as the industrial revolution lead to the decline of the
buggy whip manufacturers at the dawn of the twentieth
century, technology is doing the same thing to shopping
centers in the 21st century. Shopping center owners
badly need a means to force more consumers off of the
Internet and into their cars for a drive to the shopping
center.
They have come up with a clever idea to achieve that
goal. It’s called the “Main Street Fairness Act,” which
would increase the amount of state and local sales taxes
consumers pay on Internet purchases. If the shopping
center owners can increase the cost of online purchases,
perhaps more consumers will return to the shopping
malls. The legislation creates new complexities that may
force some of the growing number of small home based
e-businesses to quit. First, they would have to
determine and collect the sales tax based on their
customers location, which is not an easy task since
there are upwards of 15,000 state and local sales tax
jurisdictions nationwide, and each has different tax
rates on different products and services. After
determining the appropriate tax rate, the small business
owner would then have to identify the taxing authority’s
address and send the collected sales tax to them. This
arduous process would be repeated for every sale that
small businesses made. Small main street merchants that
also sell their products online would face the same
challenge for their Internet sales.
There is another very big problem with the Main Street
Fairness Act. Increasing the collection of sales taxes
on Internet purchases goes against the wishes of the
vast majority of voters. A 2008 survey by Parade
Magazine, asked readers: “Should Internet Sales Be
Taxed”? Based on 3,125 survey responses, 85% opposed
taxing any Internet sales. Internet tax increases
are much more unpopular than other alternatives
available to states in need of new revenue to balance
their budgets. For example there is far less voter
opposition to raising sin (alcohol and tobacco) taxes,
or temporary income tax surcharges on the very wealthy.
We believe that the best approach to Internet sales
taxes would instead be a permanent Internet sales tax
holiday, similar to the temporary sales tax holidays
many local governments currently provide for
back-to-school or other purposes. Most state governments
don’t charge sales tax on products such as prescription
drugs, and there are many equally compelling arguments
for not taxing Internet purchases. Small home-based and
other online businesses will grow as a result of a
permanent Internet sales tax holiday. They will hire new
workers, providing badly needed jobs at a time when
unemployment is still hovering at close to 10%. By
reducing the roles of the unemployed we will also help
the federal, state and local governments by reducing the
need government spending associated with unemployment
benefits.
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Homeowners Cranking Up Remodeling Efforts
Substantial increase a good sign of growing consumer
confidence.
The remodeling market is heading into recovery. On April 28
the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) announced
that their Quarterly Remodeling Market Index (RMI) had
increased to 46.5 in the first quarter of 2011 from 41.5 in
the fourth quarter of 2010. This marks the highest level for
the RMI since the fourth quarter of 2006. The RMI measures
the percentage of remodelers who have seen growth in their
business over the previous quarter. While an RMI below 50
indicates that still more remodelers report market activity
is lower, the latest figure suggests that the slump is soon
likely to bottom out, if it hasn’t already.
The overall RMI combines ratings of current remodeling
activity with indicators of future activity, such as calls
for bids. Current market conditions for the first quarter of
2011 rose to 46.1 from 43.3 in the previous quarter. Future
market indicators climbed to 46.8 from 39.7 in the previous
quarter.
"Remodelers report a jump in activity so far this year and
have been receiving more calls for work and appointments,"
said NAHB Remodelers Chairman Bob Peterson, CGR, CAPS, CGP,
a remodeler from Ft. Collins, Colo. "However, many home
owners are still slow to commit to remodeling due to feeling
uncertain about the economic recovery and difficulty
obtaining loans."
Regional break downs for current remodeling market
conditions showed growth in all but one area: Northeast 46.1
(from 38.8 in the fourth quarter), South 46.1 (from 45.8),
and West 46.1 (from 39.7). Only the Midwest experienced a
decline to 47.1 (from 54.3).
All current remodeling market indicators increased: major
additions to 50.3 (from 48.6 in the fourth quarter), minor
additions to 48.0 (from 43.9), and maintenance and repair to
39.5 (from 37.0). Future market indicators also improved
across the board: calls for bids rose to 53.1 (from 47.2),
appointments for proposals to 52.4 (from 43.1), backlog of
remodeling jobs to 49.7 (from 42.6), and amount of work
committed for the next three months to 32.1 (from 25.9).
In an additional special question remodelers reported the
top reasons prospective customers are holding back from
remodeling their homes:
● Customers think it is hard to get financing (90
percent of remodeler respondents)
● Customers have lost equity in their homes (81
percent)
● Customers are uncertain about their future
economic situation (74 percent)
● Reluctance to invest in home when not sure home
will hold its value (67 percent)
● Negative media stories making customers more
cautious (62 percent)
●
Inaccurate appraisals are
making financing more difficult (54 percent)
"Home remodeling continues to slowly
increase and continued growth through the year is expected,"
said NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe. "The fact that some
indicators are breaking 50 means remodelers are seeing
improving activity in their markets. While credit scarcity
and economic uncertainty continue to weigh down remodeling,
signs of increasing consumer interest are promising."
“Homeowners are slowly becoming more optimistic,” noted
American Homeowners Foundation President Bruce Hahn. “There
are similar heartening figures on the home resale side as
well. It’s nothing dramatic, and many markets are still in a
slump, but the trend is positive. The American Homeowners
Foundation urges homeowners to be prudent and plan
remodeling projects thoroughly. Complaints regarding
remodeling contractors are always near the top of both the
Better Business Bureaus and the American Homeowners
Foundations complaint list. The Foundation has free top ten
tips on the Foundation’s
website. One of the most important
tips is to always use a comprehensive detailed contract when
you engage a remodeling contractor. The Foundation also
offers an inexpensive fill in the blanks remodeling contract
which can be ordered on the Foundations
website.
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Federal Court Prohibits Anticompetitive Real Estate Broker
Practices
FTC’s prosecution and Court’s decision may help reduce
real estate commissions.
American homeowners
are the beneficiaries of the 6th district federal
court’s April 6 opinion affirming the Federal Trade
Commission’s earlier decision prohibiting multiple listing
services from blackballing competitors who charge home
sellers less than the prevailing real estate sales
commission rates. Real estate multiple listing services (MLSs)
are local or regional groups of real estate brokers. They
pool the real estate listings of their member brokers and
then feed all of the listings to every participating
member’s website. Thus a homeowner who lists their home with
one real estate agent will be able to see their listing on
the consumer facing websites of all the other real estate
brokers in the area.
Because nearly 90% of home buyers conduct their searches
online, this widespread exposure is critical to the sale of
a home. Some real estate brokers have recognized that this
exposure is the most critical factor in a home’s sale and is
saving them a lot of work. They have unbundled their fees to
home sellers and have offered home sellers steep commission
discounts for listing the home in the MLS only. Rather than
a 6% commission, they charge the home seller only a few
hundred dollars. The home seller gets the same exposure they
would receive if they were paying a full commission, but the
ancillary efforts, such as hosting open houses, and
negotiating with buyers aren’t included. Many of these
“discount” brokers also offer these additional services on
an optional menu basis.
Many traditional real estate brokers have seen the discount
brokers as a threat to their ability to maintain high real
estate commission levels. They have plotted, through the
MLSs that they control, to keep discount brokers and the
home sellers they represent, out of their MLS’s database.
The Federal Trade Commission has stepped in and stopped many
MLSs from this anticompetitive practice. One of them,
Realcomp, an MLS in southeast Michigan, challenged the FTC.
The FTC had earlier ruled that Realcomp MLS’s policy of
prohibiting discount broker members from advertising their
listings on Realcomp’s website was nothing more than a
transparent effort to maintain high real estate commission
levels. The American Homeowners Grassroots Alliance filed a
brief in support of the FTC’s efforts in that case.
Realcomp challenged the FTC’s decision before the 6th
district federal court. In early April the court decided the
case in favor of the FTC and American homeowners. In her
decision Circuit Judge Karen Moore concluded that
“substantial evidence supports the Commission’s findings
that: 1) Realcomp’s website policy gave rise to potential
genuine adverse effects on competition due to Realcomp’s
substantial market power and the website policy’s
anticompetitive nature; 2) the website policy in fact caused
actual anticompetitive effects; and 3) Realcomp’s proffered
precompetitive justifications were insufficient to overcome
a prima facie case of adverse impact. These findings
establish that Realcomp’s website policy unreasonably
restrained competition in the market for the provision of
residential real-estate-brokerage services in southeastern
Michigan and the Realcomp MLS area.”
American Homeowners Grassroots Alliance President Bruce Hahn
thanked Judge
Moore for her wisdom and the FTC for its diligent defense of
American homeowners. “This decision means that the issue is
dead. Many other MLS’s have tried the same tactic, and the
NAR invested heavily in this appeal. They have lost every
case. It is time for MLS’s and industry leaders to put this
issue behind them and stop wasting their members’ dues money
on lost causes that only offend their customers and tarnish
the profession’s reputation. Instead they should focus
instead on how to better serve their clients and their
members.”
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Please take the time to contact your legislators and express your
views on pending policy issues covered in this
month’s Home Base. It's easy - you can reach your
legislators by email in a couple of mouse clicks,
and you can use the content in Home Base and
elsewhere on our website to help you develop your
message.
To look up the phone number, email, and/or postal address of your
U.S. Representative or your two U.S. Senators, (or
your state representative or state senator)
click here. You can also look up which
legislators represent your zip code if you don’t
recall their names.
A personal meeting is a particularly effective way
to get their attention and reinforce your message.
Many legislators are also happy to meet personally
with their constituents when they are back home on
weekends or when Congress is not in session. Most
are back in their home states now running hard for
the November election, so they are particularly open
to hearing the views of their constituents. Please consider also requesting a follow up
face-to-face meeting in their home state or home
district offices near you when you contact their
Washington DC offices on policy issues.
Is there a policy issue that
is particularly important to you which significantly
impacts homeowners or home ownership? We are in the
process of updating our annual issue guide for 2011.
We share this document with federal and state
legislators and with the media. Any member may
propose a position on a policy issue, so please
check the
American
Homeowners Grassroots Alliance's 2011 Issue Guide.
If it isn't on the list, we invite you to send us an
email and tell us why you think the American
Homeowners Grassroots Alliance should take a
position and work on it.
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