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What are
the Hot Remodeling Projects?
Deficit Debate Helping New Political Groups
Home Buyers’ Lifestyle Priorities in their Home Searches
Consumer Financial Protection Bureau Debuts
New Sales Tax Increase May Further Weaken the Economy
Debt Deal Done
But
will it pass?
On August 1 the sun rose on Washington DC to a deal on the
federal deficit between President
Obama, and House and Senate Democrats and Republicans. Many
believe that a failure to address the problem before the
federal government runs out of cash on August 2 would do
serious further damage to the weak American economy. U.S.
debt would be downgraded by credit agencies, and mortgage
and other interest rates would go up.
The deal cuts government spending more than it raises the
debt cap and does not raise any taxes. The debt cap could go
up as much as $2.4 trillion, but a mix of immediate spending
cuts and future spending cuts and/or tax increases would
trim spending by more than that amount, leading to deficit
reductions. The agreement provides for a Congressional vote
on a balanced budget amendment.
It also creates a bipartisan committee of 12 lawmakers to
come up with $1.2 trillion in additional deficit reduction
legislation by Thanksgiving. If it fails to do so, automatic
across the board cuts of agency budgets of that amount would
be triggered. Half of the cuts would come in the defense
budget and half from other domestic spending cuts, with
Medicaid, Social Security and several programs for the poor
exempted.
By any measure the agreement is a net victory for
Republicans, who got far more of what they wanted and
yielded far less than the Democrats. Despite support for the
agreement by Democratic and Republican leaders in both
houses, it could still fail to get enough votes. Some tea
party Republicans don’t believe it cuts enough while other
Republicans oppose the looming severe cuts in the defense
budgets. Many liberal Democrats lament that despite
substantial cuts in domestic programs there were no
offsetting tax increases. If it passes, the outcome may
reflect the current mental exhaustion on the part of the
combatants on the left and right more than a recognition
that a compromise is in the country’s best interest.
Congress is expected to vote on the agreement late on August
1 or on the August 2 deadline. Though most lawmakers on both
sides have been operating on the assumption that the country
will literally run out of money on August 2, there are a
couple of fiscal tricks up the sleeve of the Treasury
Department that could buy an extra week or two if the
measure isn’t signed into law by August 2. As the late
baseball player and manager Yogi Berra once said “It ain’t
over ‘til it’s over.”
Assuming the measure passes, it is difficult to envision how
the bipartisan committee of 12 lawmakers will be able to
agree on a future $1.2 trillion deficit reduction package,
given the polarization on this issue. Most likely they will
fail, and the automatic cuts will kick in later this year.
Where we go from there will likely depend on the outcome of
the next election.
By virtue of their success in these negotiations Republicans
will either get credit for the spending cuts or blame for
protecting wealthy individuals and corporations from sharing
(through tax increases) any of the pain suffered by voters
as a result of those cuts. While current public opinion
polls show widespread support for a package heavily weighted
with spending cuts, most voters also believe that some tax
increases, such as closing some corporate tax loopholes or
not extending tax cuts for the wealthy, would be a fair way
for both to share the pain.
The debate in the next election is likely to revolve around
this issue. A successful long term deficit reduction package
will likely look more like the package recommended by the
President’s deficit reduction commission or the “Gang of
Six” negotiators earlier in the recent debate. Both relied
mostly on budget cuts but also included some tax hikes,
including limitations on the mortgage interest deduction.
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What
are the Hot Remodeling Projects?
Remodeling Magazine Survey has the answers.
Remodeling Magazine's latest online
Cost Versus Value Report 2010-2011
reveals how the declining housing market is affecting
homeowners’ remodeling priorities. The report compares the
average cost for 35 popular remodeling projects with the
value those projects retain at resale. It also breaks down
data for nine regions and eighty cities.
The study breaks down both upscale and midrange projects and
compares cost to resale value. It also provides a percentage
of the cost that could be recouped on the sale of their
home, a helpful tool for planning. The costs for many
projects in most areas have dropped over 10%, reflecting
both more intense industry competition as well as homeowners
becoming more price conscious in their choices. However,
home values in many areas have been dropping even faster
(nationally they have dropped almost 16%), and factors such
as a large number of unsold homes in a neighborhood can have
a dampening effect on the return ratios. The result is that
although some projects can still return 100% or more of
their costs, the return rate for many others has dropped,
even though the cost of the projects has been dropping as
well.
Although the costs are based on itemized estimates, the
projects are hypothetical. Differences in the size of a
project, or in the quality of finishes and accessories, can
dramatically affect the price and the return. Homeowners can
significantly reduce costs if they are able to do some of
the end work themselves. The best candidate for those kinds
of savings is work that occurs near the end of a project,
such as painting or trim work. Many contractors these days
are also more flexible in allowing homeowners to provide
some of the components needed for the project. This enables
homeowners to buy such things as appliances, light fixtures
and even cabinetry in advance at deep discount when they are
on sale at Lowes, Home Depot, or other home improvement
stores. Many homeowners can save substantial amounts on
projects and achieve 100% or better return on the costs by
doing either or both.
Nationally the best returns on midrange projects are
replacing a front entry door (steel), at 102%. Garage door
replacements also provide a good return (84%). At the other
extreme, you’ll only recoup about 48% of the cost for
sunroom additions and backup power generators. You won’t do
as well on upscale projects. Siding replacements
(fiber/cement) will return 80%, but master suite and garage
additions, as well as upscale bathroom additions will return
only a little over 50% of the costs.
It is critical that homeowners select a qualified
contractor. Homeowners can avoid many problems by good
advance planning and by selecting a qualified contractor.
Making changes while the work is underway is usually both
time consuming and expensive, so take the time necessary to
think out the project in advance so you won’t have to make
changes after work has begun. Check with the state, county
or local housing authorities to make sure the contactor and
all subcontractors meet all licensing and bonding
requirements. Find out if the contractor and all
subcontractors are covered by workers compensation, property
damage, and personal liability insurance, and are bonded.
Ask to see a copy of the insurance certificate or the name
of the insurance carrier so you can verify their coverage.
Check with the local Better Business Bureau and/or
government consumer agency to make sure there is not a
history of dissatisfied customers. Ask for current
references for the contractor and all subcontractors and
check those references. The best are those with jobs just
completed or still underway. Since both subcontractors and
employees change over time this gives a better measure of
their current capability and performance.
Ask if they are a member of the National Association of the
Remodeling Industry, the National Association of Home
Builders Remodelers Council, and/or any of the trade
associations representing specific sectors of the remodeling
industry. Most offer educational programs that keep members
current on technology and management practices and many have
certification programs. While there is no guarantee,
membership in these trade associations is one likely
indicator of the contractor's commitment to the trade and to
professionalism.
Most importantly, always use a comprehensive written
contract. Many disagreements arise between honest
contractors and homeowners over details that weren’t
addressed in advance. Have your attorney review any contract
provided by the remodeling contractor, or use the American
Homeowners Foundation’s
generic remodeling contract
. Our six page comprehensive contract was developed with the
input of both real estate attorneys and remodeling
contractors, and has spaces to describe all components and
details of the work.
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Debt Ceiling Debate Helping New Political Groups
Evaporating
respect for Congress is helping them along.
Only 6% of likely U.S. voters now rate Congress' performance
as good or excellent, according to a July Rasmussen Reports
national telephone survey. June had scored the previous
record when Congressional approval ratings fell to 8% who
rated its performance good or excellent. Well over half
(61%) currently believe that national legislators are doing
a poor job, an increase of nine points from June.
Other surveys reflect even greater anger. In the latest
Washington Post-ABC News poll
80% described themselves as either “angry” or “dissatisfied”
with the way Washington works, and 63% will vote for someone
other than their current federal legislator in the 2012
election. Both are record highs. While public support for
budget cuts is far greater than that for tax increases, both
parties are getting low marks. While Democrats are often
cited for their willingness to rely too much on tax
increases, many voters believe Republicans are unwilling to
make any compromises whatsoever.
Benefitting from gridlock are centrist organizations such as
Americans Elect, which is focusing on gaining ballot access
for a future independent third-party Presidential candidate,
and No Labels, which is focusing on Congressional elections
as well. Others include the Centrist Alliance, Votocracy and
Ruck.us.
In past elections third party candidates and groups have had
difficulty getting traction and raising money. This year may
be different, because there has never before been such a
large disaffected population. Many large traditional
democratic and republican donors are equally disappointed
with their party’s performance.
Though there are more centrist voters than either “pure”
liberal or conservative voters, centrist legislators are a
small and shrinking segment of Congress. A growth in funding
for centrist candidates could reverse this trend in the
upcoming election. The smaller number of current centrist
legislators would have a bigger pot to draw on, and money
would also be available for centrist challengers.
The American Homeowners Grassroots Alliance hopes that these
centrist organizations are successful. At the end of the day
the job description of every federal legislator includes
passing legislation. Centrist legislators have long had a
leavening influence, both reminding their colleagues at
either extreme that there is a large segment of voters who
are accustomed to compromise. The larger the ranks of
centrist legislators, the greater their ability and leverage
to help forge the compromises necessary to pass most
legislation.
We recognize the right of legislators on the far left and
far right to their convictions, and almost always there are
fair points to be made on both sides. In the end the core
function of Congress is to enact legislation. Unless your
party controls both the House as well as the Senate (by
enough of a majority to overturn Presidential vetoes and
shut down filibusters in the Senate’s case), compromise is
the only way that legislation can happen. This circumstance
is the exception rather than the rule, and this Congress is
no exception.
Wherever you may be on the ideological scale, the job of a
federal legislator is not a good fit for someone who is
unwilling to compromise on issues. When they do lose they
will take their losses harder, and their collective
intransigence (left + right) also hurts the country when it
prevents the resolution of critical issues, such as in
current the debt limit debate. For their own peace of mind,
those legislators might want to consider new career
opportunities, because there is a growing likelihood that
their constituents might help them in that regard in the
next election.
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Home Buyers’ Lifestyle Priorities in their Home Searches
Lifestyle priorities are the reason for 1 in 5 moves.
One in five U.S. homeowners have either moved from their
home or would like to move because their neighborhood or
community wasn't ideal for their lifestyle, according to an
April 2011 survey by Better Homes and Gardens Real Estate
LLC in collaboration with media and marketing company
Meredith Corporation.
The findings prove that community and lifestyle decisions
are important components of the home buying process. Most
thoughtful home buyers probably have a couple of lifestyle
related criteria on their search priority list. The study,
which identifies eight different lifestyle categories, is
useful to future home buyers because many may not have
considered all of the potential lifestyle priorities that
will impact their potential home choice. "While the relation
of price to features has become very favorable in many areas
throughout the country, ultimately the surrounding community
may determine how happy you are with your home purchase,"
said Sherry Chris, president and CEO of Better Homes and
Gardens Real Estate LLC. The findings are also the basis of
its new "Lifestyle Search" real estate community selection
tool on the
bhgrealestate.com website
that enables prospective homebuyers to perform a community
search for important lifestyle preferences such as "Family &
Community" and "Arts & Recreation."
Survey respondents noted they would place more weight on
lifestyle criteria in future home searches, favoring
family-friendly neighborhoods and easy accessibility to
cultural activities such as museums and music venues. The
following chart shows survey respondents' ranking of search
criteria.
|
Top Lifestyle Priorities of
Respondents When Searching for their Home |
| Ease of Commuting by
Car |
38% |
| Access to Health and
Safety Services |
34% |
| Family Friendly
Neighborhood |
33% |
| Availability of
Retail Stores |
32% |
| Access to Cultural
Activities |
21% |
| Public Transportation
Access |
19% |
| Nightlife and
Restaurant Access |
18% |
| Golf Friendly Area -
Access to Golf Courses |
6% |
Better Homes and Gardens® Real Estate's Lifestyle Search,
located on the home page of
www.bhgrealestate.com, was
developed using a combination of variables that are
indicators of the desired lifestyle designation. When a
search is conducted, neighborhoods that match all the
criteria provided are returned in ranked order by score.
Once a community is identified, prospective homebuyers can
probe deeper into the demographics of a region by accessing
the "Know Your Neighborhood" section of the website to find
school rankings, crime statistics and income ranges, among
other factors. The search has two main sections with
supporting categories. Under "Family & Community," home
buyers can search by traits such as Family, Health & Safety,
Schools, Commuting and Convenience. Under "Arts &
Recreation," home buyers can hone in on lifestyle aspects of
a community such as Culture, Fun/Hip, Retail, and Golfer's
Paradise.
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Consumer Financial Protection Bureau Debuts
The new Bureau will offer additional protections and
consumer resources.
The new Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) hit the
ground running in July, launching functions and issuing a
variety of required rules. The CFPB was the result of a
variety of needs. Perhaps the most significant were the
excesses in the financial services sector that caused the
current recession and meltdown in the housing sector.
“Two years ago, the consumer agency was just barely an idea.
A year ago it became law. And this week, the CFPB will open
its doors and begin to make a difference in the
marketplace,” said Elizabeth Warren, Special Advisor to the
Secretary of the Treasury on the CFPB. “This agency is ready
to be a cop on the beat for American families – and I
couldn’t be prouder.” President Obama has nominated former
Ohio AG and Elizabeth Warren protégée Richard Cordray to
head the Bureau. Professor Warren will return to Harvard and
may run for Senate against incumbent Scott Brown, who holds
the seat of the late Senator Ted Kennedy.
Cordray’s confirmation is opposed by the financial services
sector and many Republicans.
Until it has a
director, the bureau won't be able to carry out many of its
functions, such as developing rules for payday lenders and
other nonbank financial institutions.
Consumers can file complaints regarding credit card
companies and practices at the CFPB’s Consumer Response
Center, online at
ConsumerFinance.gov,
and through a toll-free number. It will also refer
distressed homeowners to housing counselors via the
Homeowner’s HOPE Hotline. Over the coming months, the agency
will expand its Consumer Response Center to handle
complaints about other consumer financial products and
services under its jurisdiction.
CFPB is also taking over responsibility for enforcement of
the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act (RESPA). The
Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) previously
handled RESPA enforcement. There are over 1,500 cases
pending. HUD will continue to enforce RESPA's anti-kickback
provisions, and recently announced the settlement of several
cases where real estate brokerages were receiving illegal
payments for referrals. It is illegal for mortgage brokers
and real estate agents to receive or give kickbacks to other
companies or individuals in the real estate sector.
However, some real estate sectors are seeking to weaken the
Bureau or seeking carve-outs from CFPB’s anti-kickback
provisions. The National Association of Realtors wants an
exemption to kickbacks their members get from home warranty
companies. Congresswoman Judy Biggert (R-Il) introduced the
"RESPA Home Warranty Clarification Act of 2011," which would
exclude home warranties from RESPA. The American Homeowners
Grassroots Alliance opposes the measure. CFPB is also
developing a new loan disclosure form which will be
available on or before July 21, 2012.
Financial sector interests
are also backing a Republican bill to restructure the
consumer bureau to a form favored by the financial services
industry. Among the changes, it would replace the director
with a board of directors.
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New Sales Tax Increase May Further Weaken the Economy
The proposed tax would increase the cost of online purchases
and sales.
Despite overwhelming public opposition to new sales taxes on
Internet purchases, legislation that would do just was
introduced on July 29 by Senators Durbin and Thompson, and
Representatives Conyers and Welch. The Main Street Fairness
Act would force consumers to pay state and local sales taxes
on most of their online purchases. It could also require
homeowners who have small home-based side businesses or who
hold their garage sales on Craigslist, eBay or Amazon to
collect and remit sales taxes to the 7,000 state and local
governments across the country.
State and local sales tax regimes were debated and created
before the Internet. Those state and local governments have
never sought public input or held a vote on whether to apply
sales taxes, which pre-existed the Internet by many years,
to online sales. Like their colleagues at the state and
local levels, the sponsors of these bills apparently either
assume that voters want their online purchases to be treated
the same as their offline purchases or don’t care whether
they do or not.
Voters are strongly opposed to online sales taxes. A 2008
survey by Parade Magazine, asked readers: “Should Internet
sales be taxed?” Based on 3,125 survey responses, 85%
opposed taxing Internet sales. Many types of tax increases
are unpopular, but with 85% opposed, this one is surely
among the most unpopular. It would also hurt low and
moderate income taxpayers more than wealthy taxpayers in an
extremely weak economy.
The sponsors might want to add “and Garage Sale Tax
Collection Act” to the title of the “Main Street Fairness
Act.” According to AC Nielson International Research, 1.5
million people have generated extra cash by having garage
sales online. Sometimes the garage sale proceeds can be
quite substantial, such as when a couple may be downsizing
or retiring, or moving to another state. This legislation
creates a Governing Board made up of unelected tax
administrators who would determine at what sales level
homeowners and other consumers would have to begin
collecting sales taxes on their online garage sales. Nothing
would prevent them from setting that amount very low.
Voters clearly believe that an Internet sales tax moratorium
would be a much better public policy. There is clearly
precedent for such a step. Over the years, state and local
legislators and policymakers have established permanent
sales tax exemptions for various categories of purchases,
such as prescription drugs as well as temporary sales tax
holidays for such things as back to school purchases.
Since more Internet purchases means less driving to the
mall, an Internet sales tax moratorium would also reduce
state and local government costs of maintaining and
expanding their transportation infrastructure. Reduced
demand for gasoline would also translate into lower gas
prices and more savings for all consumers, and the
environment will benefit from reduced auto pollution as
well. Our cars will remain in our driveway, and the products
will be delivered by the U.S. postal carriers, UPS, and
FedEx trucks that go through our neighborhood every day
anyway.
Many of the nation’s 70 million homeowners are suffering
because of the economy and the housing crisis. They don’t
need a tax increase that they overwhelmingly oppose and
which hurts many consumers and small home-based businesses.
The American Homeowners Grassroots Alliance urges Senators
Durbin and Thompson, and Representatives Conyers and Welch
to renounce the Main Street Fairness Act. In its place they
should introduce the Internet Sales Tax Moratorium Act. They
would have the support of 85% of their constituents, many of
whom are hard pressed right now and could benefit from the
tax savings.
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Please take the time to contact your legislators and express your
views on pending policy issues covered in this
month’s Home Base. It's easy - you can reach your
legislators by email in a couple of mouse clicks,
and you can use the content in Home Base and
elsewhere on our website to help you develop your
message.
To look up the phone number, email, and/or postal address of your
U.S. Representative or your two U.S. Senators, (or
your state representative or state senator)
click here. You can also look up which
legislators represent your zip code if you don’t
recall their names.
A personal meeting is a particularly effective way
to get their attention and reinforce your message. Please consider
requesting a
face-to-face meeting in their home state or home
district offices near you when you contact their
Washington DC offices on policy issues.
Is there a policy issue that
is particularly important to you which significantly
impacts homeowners or home ownership? Any member may
propose a position on a policy issue, so please
check the
American
Homeowners Grassroots Alliance's 2011 Issue Guide.
If it isn't on the list, we invite you to send us an
email and tell us why you think the American
Homeowners Grassroots Alliance should take a
position and work on it.
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